Forecasting High-Frequency Volatility Shocks An Analytical Real-Time Monitoring System
tarafından
 
Kömm, Holger. author.

Başlık
Forecasting High-Frequency Volatility Shocks An Analytical Real-Time Monitoring System

Yazar
Kömm, Holger. author.

ISBN
9783658125967

Yazar
Kömm, Holger. author.

Edisyon
1st ed. 2016.

Fiziksel Niteleme
XXIX, 171 p. 19 illus. online resource.

İçindekiler
Integrated Volatility -- Zero-inflated Data Generation Processes -- Algorithmic Text Forecasting.

Özet
This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing estimators to compute the unobservable volatility; second, a new two-state Markov switching mixture model for autoregressive and zero-inflated time-series to identify structural breaks in a latent data generation process and third, a selection of competing pattern recognition algorithms to classify the potential information embedded in unexpected, but public observable text data in shock and nonshock information. The monitor is trained, tested, and evaluated on a two year survey on the prime standard assets listed in the indices DAX, MDAX, SDAX and TecDAX. Contents • Integrated Volatility • Zero-inflated Data Generation Processes • Algorithmic Text Forecasting Target Groups • Teachers and students of economic science with a focus on financial econometrics< • Executives and consultants in the field of business informatics and advanced statistics About the Author Dr. Holger Kömm is research associate at the chair of statistics and quantitative methods in the economics & business department of the Catholic University Eichstätt-Ingolstadt. .

Konu Başlığı
Economic theory.
 
Macroeconomics.
 
Economic policy.
 
Economics.
 
Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics.
 
R & D/Technology Policy.
 
Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods.

Ek Kurum Yazar
SpringerLink (Online service)

Elektronik Erişim
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-12596-7


Materyal TürüBarkodYer NumarasıDurumu/İade Tarihi
Electronic Book18480-1001HB172.5Springer E-Book Collection