Micha Hirschinger emphasizes the importance of foresight on logistics and institutions in particular for effective decision making as distinct research in this context is limited. He applies a systematic and transferable multi-method approach based on Delphi studies and fuzzy c-means cluster analysis to develop profound scenarios for the future. He uses the relevance of information-processing requirements to investigate whether centralization of purchasing organizations increases functional efficiency. The author finally shows how a sharing-economy business model transfer could help to overcome the limited access to factor markets, especially trucks, at the base of the pyramid. Contents Future of Logistics in Emerging Markets – Fuzzy Clustering Scenarios Grounded in Institutional and Factor-Market Rivalry Theory No Vehicle Means No Aid – A Paradigm Change For The Humanitarian Logistics Business Model How the Aerospace and Defence Industry in India Might Evolve Till 2020: An Institutional Perspective Does Centralization Lead to higher Efficiency? – An Industry-specific Analysis of Purchasing Functions Target Groups Scientists in the field of Strategic Foresight, Supply Chain Management and International Management Supply chain manager, strategic planner, entrepreneurial and political decision maker About the Author Prior to his current position as consultant at a leading global management consulting firm, Micha Hirschinger worked as research associate at the Chair of Supply Chain Management at the FAU Erlangen-Nuremberg. .